Balasar vs Lavrense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.1%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
13%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balasar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
BAI
1 - 1
BAL
69%
18%
14%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
BAL
2 - 1
INF
24%
23%
54%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
MAI
2 - 2
BAL
53%
22%
25%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
BAL
2 - 3
VIL
42%
23%
35%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
NOG
0 - 1
BAL
33%
24%
43%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lavrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
LAV
4 - 1
GMA
17%
20%
63%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
ALF
2 - 4
LAV
77%
14%
9%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
LAV
1 - 3
BAR
14%
19%
67%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
LAV
1 - 1
PED
11%
18%
72%
|
10 | 27 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
BAI
2 - 1
LAV
84%
11%
5%
|
11 | 25 | 14 | -1 |