Balaguer vs Palamós analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
53.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.6%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balaguer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1995 |
IGU
0 - 0
BAL
49%
25%
26%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1995 |
BAL
1 - 2
BAN
59%
23%
18%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1995 |
GUI
0 - 2
BAL
22%
25%
52%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1995 |
BAL
1 - 5
JUP
57%
23%
20%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1995 |
STB
3 - 2
BAL
23%
26%
51%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Palamós
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1995 |
PAL
5 - 2
CEM
75%
17%
8%
|
64 | 25 | 39 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1995 |
SAN
1 - 1
PAL
22%
26%
51%
|
64 | 25 | 39 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1995 |
PAL
1 - 2
FCA
70%
18%
11%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1995 |
PAL
2 - 2
UAH
75%
17%
8%
|
65 | 32 | 33 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1995 |
PAL
1 - 1
GIR
71%
19%
10%
|
65 | 40 | 25 | 0 |