Balàfia vs At. Alpicat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.1%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
68.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balàfia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2014 |
FCA
3 - 1
BAL
82%
12%
6%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 0
TRE
46%
23%
31%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
GER
2 - 3
BAL
68%
18%
14%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
BAL
0 - 6
SOL
30%
23%
47%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
GIS
3 - 0
BAL
44%
23%
33%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
At. Alpicat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
ALC
0 - 1
ALP
14%
19%
67%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
ALP
3 - 3
CDC
62%
20%
17%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
ADA
1 - 1
ALP
12%
18%
71%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
ALP
7 - 0
PAN
77%
15%
8%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ALB
4 - 2
ALP
16%
20%
64%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | -1 |