Bala Town vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
25%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
BAL
4 - 1
POR
58%
23%
20%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
CON
0 - 1
BAL
28%
24%
48%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 2
RHY
63%
20%
16%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
ABE
4 - 0
BAL
42%
25%
34%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
BAL
3 - 1
LLA
82%
13%
6%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
PRE
2 - 1
ABE
31%
24%
45%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
ABE
2 - 1
AIR
37%
26%
37%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
NEW
6 - 3
ABE
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
ABE
4 - 0
BAL
42%
25%
34%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
POR
1 - 2
ABE
37%
27%
36%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |