Bala Azul vs Santomera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
46%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+102%
+191%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
BAL
1 - 1
ALQ
76%
15%
9%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
MOR
4 - 0
BAL
65%
21%
14%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
BAL
1 - 1
CAL
23%
27%
51%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
JUM
4 - 1
BAL
59%
22%
18%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
BAL
0 - 1
IMP
69%
18%
13%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Santomera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
MUL
1 - 0
SAN
35%
25%
40%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
SAN
1 - 1
OLI
62%
22%
16%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
SAN
0 - 0
CFB
16%
22%
62%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
ALQ
1 - 1
SAN
15%
21%
65%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
MOR
1 - 3
SAN
55%
24%
21%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +1 |