Bala Azul vs Plus Ultra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-87%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
JUM
0 - 2
BAL
39%
25%
36%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
BAL
2 - 2
MIN
49%
23%
28%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
YEC
2 - 2
BAL
75%
16%
9%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
BAL
4 - 2
ESP
66%
19%
15%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
SAN
4 - 0
BAL
22%
24%
54%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
PLU
1 - 3
AGU
18%
22%
60%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
CIE
1 - 0
PLU
78%
14%
7%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
PLU
1 - 2
PIN
40%
26%
35%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 1
PLU
26%
25%
49%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
PLU
1 - 2
LOR
19%
23%
58%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | -1 |