Bala Azul vs AD Mar Menor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.9%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
70.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
14.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2005 |
SAN
3 - 0
BAL
67%
21%
13%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
BAL
3 - 2
CIE
18%
24%
59%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | +2 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
BAL
0 - 1
HOR
13%
23%
64%
|
11 | 33 | 22 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
ORI
5 - 0
BAL
83%
13%
4%
|
11 | 39 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
BAL
0 - 3
LOR
13%
23%
64%
|
12 | 36 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
AD Mar Menor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2005 |
MME
2 - 1
HOR
66%
20%
14%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
ORI
0 - 2
MME
49%
25%
27%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
MME
2 - 2
LOR
53%
24%
23%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
BAL
3 - 1
MME
15%
22%
62%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | -2 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
MME
3 - 2
MAZ
65%
20%
15%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |