Baía de Pemba vs Costa do Sol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
33.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baía de Pemba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
LIC
1 - 1
BDP
41%
29%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
BDP
2 - 1
TEX
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
DES
1 - 0
BDP
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BDP
1 - 1
HCB
39%
29%
33%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FER
1 - 0
BDP
43%
29%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Costa do Sol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
COS
2 - 1
BTF
78%
15%
8%
|
70 | 24 | 46 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
COS
3 - 1
LIC
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
TEX
0 - 2
COS
15%
27%
58%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
COS
1 - 2
DES
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
HCB
1 - 1
COS
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |