Baía de Pemba vs Brera Tchumene analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
9.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+78%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baía de Pemba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
BDP
0 - 1
COS
38%
28%
33%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
LIC
1 - 1
BDP
41%
29%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
BDP
2 - 1
TEX
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
DES
1 - 0
BDP
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BDP
1 - 1
HCB
39%
29%
33%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Brera Tchumene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2024 |
BTF
0 - 1
FER
25%
27%
48%
|
24 | 64 | 40 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
BTF
1 - 2
BBM
19%
24%
57%
|
24 | 70 | 46 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
COS
2 - 1
BTF
78%
15%
8%
|
24 | 70 | 46 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
LIC
1 - 1
BTF
71%
18%
11%
|
24 | 59 | 35 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2024 |
BTF
3 - 1
VIL
19%
24%
57%
|
22 | 60 | 38 | +2 |