Bahlinger SC vs FC 08 Homburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
49.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
8º
16º
12º
55
2º
16º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 64 |
1º
|
65% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 63 |
2º
|
64% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 60 |
3º
|
98% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 59 |
4º
|
79% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 57 |
5º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
55 | 56 |
6º
|
75.5% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 52 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 50 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 48 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 47 |
10º
|
45% | |
|
11º
|
45 | 46 |
11º
|
48% | |
|
|
12º
|
43 | 46 |
12º
|
72% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 42 |
13º
|
67.5% | |
|
14º
|
41 | 42 |
14º
|
70.5% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
79% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 29 |
17º
|
79% | |
|
18º
|
18 | 18 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahlinger SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
FRE
3 - 2
BAH
41%
24%
35%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BAH
2 - 1
AST
51%
23%
27%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
STU
3 - 2
BAH
63%
20%
17%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
BAH
0 - 0
FSV
23%
23%
54%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +2 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 0
BAH
58%
22%
20%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
HOM
2 - 2
SMA
66%
19%
15%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SGB
2 - 2
HOM
32%
25%
43%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
FRA
5 - 0
HOM
40%
24%
36%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
HOM
1 - 2
HOF
38%
25%
36%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
HOM
3 - 0
DAR
8%
15%
78%
|
47 | 79 | 32 | +3 |