Copa Do Brasil U20 . Last 16
Global 4-2
Bahia Sub 17 vs Londrina Sub 17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.2%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.7%
7.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahia Sub 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
BAH
7 - 0
AEC
81%
12%
6%
|
30 | 7 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
FLA
6 - 2
BAH
81%
13%
6%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2021 |
BAH
7 - 2
BOT
58%
20%
23%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2021 |
SPA
2 - 0
BAH
81%
13%
6%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
BAH
3 - 1
CEA
45%
22%
33%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Londrina Sub 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
RIV
0 - 2
LON
28%
21%
51%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
LON
1 - 2
ATL
10%
15%
75%
|
9 | 38 | 29 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
ATL
4 - 2
LON
79%
13%
8%
|
9 | 38 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
LON
1 - 0
CRU
51%
21%
28%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |