Bagatelle vs Youth Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
34.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bagatelle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
WEY
5 - 2
BAG
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2011 |
SAI
1 - 2
BAG
43%
24%
33%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
PAR
0 - 1
BAG
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
ELL
1 - 3
BAG
46%
24%
31%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
BAG
0 - 0
PRI
52%
24%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Youth Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
BRI
0 - 2
YOU
46%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2011 |
PIN
1 - 3
YOU
43%
24%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
YOU
1 - 0
SAI
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2011 |
PRI
2 - 3
YOU
41%
25%
34%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2011 |
YOU
2 - 0
WEY
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |