Baeza CF vs Real Jaén B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
37.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+144%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baeza CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
NER
1 - 0
BAE
55%
23%
22%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
UBE
1 - 2
BAE
23%
26%
51%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
BAE
1 - 0
LIN
54%
24%
21%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
JOD
3 - 1
BAE
19%
23%
58%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
BAE
0 - 3
MEN
41%
24%
35%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
RJA
0 - 4
RON
37%
25%
38%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
CAM
4 - 1
RJA
22%
26%
52%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | -3 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
MAN
2 - 1
RJA
25%
28%
47%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
NER
1 - 2
RJA
34%
26%
39%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
UBE
0 - 3
RJA
13%
23%
63%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | 0 |