Baeza CF vs CD Nerja Fundación analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
33%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+144%
+122%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baeza CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
BAE
3 - 0
UBE
77%
16%
7%
|
30 | 14 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
LIN
0 - 2
BAE
37%
28%
36%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
BAE
1 - 1
JOD
59%
22%
20%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
MEN
2 - 2
BAE
73%
16%
11%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
BAE
1 - 1
CDT
56%
22%
22%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Nerja Fundación
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
NER
2 - 1
RON
34%
25%
41%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
CAM
2 - 1
NER
26%
26%
49%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
RJA
1 - 2
NER
41%
26%
33%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
NER
2 - 0
MAN
58%
24%
18%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
UBE
0 - 1
NER
15%
23%
62%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | 0 |