Baeza CF vs Navas CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
30.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+197%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baeza CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 0
BAE
25%
22%
53%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
BAE
0 - 4
VIL
66%
19%
16%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ATL
2 - 2
BAE
43%
22%
36%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BAE
0 - 2
BEG
60%
21%
20%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CDR
1 - 1
BAE
36%
22%
42%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Navas CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
NAV
3 - 1
VIL
69%
17%
15%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CDV
1 - 2
NAV
36%
23%
41%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
NAV
5 - 2
CDT
61%
19%
20%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 2
NAV
19%
19%
61%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
NAV
0 - 2
IDJ
81%
12%
7%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | -2 |