Baeza CF vs Malaka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+260%
+1408%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baeza CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 0
BAE
64%
20%
16%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
BAE
0 - 3
VIL
13%
21%
66%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CDR
2 - 2
BAE
51%
24%
26%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
FUE
2 - 0
BAE
66%
20%
14%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
BAE
2 - 1
CHU
14%
22%
64%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Malaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
MLK
0 - 1
CHU
12%
20%
68%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ACO
1 - 1
MLK
83%
12%
5%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
MLK
0 - 4
BEN
17%
23%
60%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
ATM
4 - 1
MLK
63%
20%
17%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
MLK
0 - 2
DHE
15%
21%
64%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | 0 |