Baeza CF vs CA Bailén 1808 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
27%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+123%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baeza CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
CDV
0 - 3
BAE
28%
23%
49%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
CDA
2 - 4
BAE
29%
22%
48%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
BAE
2 - 0
BEG
31%
24%
44%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
ATL
1 - 0
BAE
44%
23%
33%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
BAE
1 - 1
VIL
64%
19%
17%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CA Bailén 1808
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
CAB
0 - 2
BEG
43%
23%
34%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
ATL
3 - 2
CAB
42%
23%
35%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
CAB
0 - 1
VIL
64%
19%
17%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
CDR
1 - 3
CAB
19%
20%
61%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
CAB
1 - 0
CAR
40%
23%
37%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |