Baeza CF vs Carolinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+171%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baeza CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
UBE
1 - 2
BAE
74%
16%
10%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ADL
1 - 0
BAE
29%
22%
49%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
BAE
1 - 1
VIL
39%
23%
38%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CAZ
2 - 2
BAE
32%
24%
44%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
BAE
2 - 2
NAV
43%
23%
35%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Carolinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 1
CLU
58%
20%
21%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
URG
0 - 0
CAR
73%
15%
12%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
4 - 5
RJA
40%
24%
36%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
LID
5 - 0
CAR
72%
16%
12%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 1
LAG
23%
23%
55%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | +1 |