Baeza CF vs Mancha Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
29.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+211%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baeza CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
MIJ
1 - 2
BAE
49%
25%
26%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
NER
2 - 1
BAE
49%
25%
27%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
BAE
1 - 0
CDU
37%
26%
37%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
ALC
2 - 1
BAE
16%
22%
62%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
BAE
1 - 1
MAR
39%
27%
34%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
MAN
6 - 0
CAR
56%
26%
19%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
MAN
0 - 1
EST
34%
28%
38%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
UDT
1 - 6
MAN
45%
28%
27%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
MAN
2 - 1
RJA
43%
28%
29%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
PUE
0 - 2
MAN
21%
26%
53%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | +1 |