Norwegian Fourth Division Round 9

Bærum II vs Raufoss II analysis

Bærum II Raufoss II
21 ELO 18
12.7% Tilt 4.5%
42166º General ELO ranking 38516º
394º Country ELO ranking 335º
ELO win probability
57.5%
Bærum II
20.2%
Draw
22.2%
Raufoss II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
Bærum II
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
22.2%
Win probability
Raufoss II
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Bærum II
Raufoss II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bærum II
Bærum II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 May. 2013
HOL
Holmen
1 - 1
Bærum II
BAE
76%
15%
9%
20 35 15 0
20 May. 2013
BAE
Bærum II
0 - 5
Ullern
ULL
25%
22%
53%
21 32 11 -1
14 May. 2013
GJO
Gjøvik-Lyn
5 - 1
Bærum II
BAE
82%
12%
6%
21 46 25 0
09 May. 2013
BAE
Bærum II
3 - 4
Modum
MOD
30%
23%
46%
22 30 8 -1
06 May. 2013
NLI
Nordre Land
0 - 2
Bærum II
BAE
43%
23%
34%
21 20 1 +1

Matches

Raufoss II
Raufoss II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 May. 2013
ULL
Ullern
1 - 0
Raufoss II
RAU
80%
13%
7%
19 33 14 0
19 May. 2013
RAU
Raufoss II
2 - 1
Modum
MOD
17%
21%
62%
17 31 14 +2
13 May. 2013
MJO
Mjøndalen IF II
3 - 1
Raufoss II
RAU
52%
22%
26%
18 18 0 -1
09 May. 2013
RAU
Raufoss II
1 - 2
Lommedalen
LOM
37%
22%
40%
18 20 2 0
06 May. 2013
JEV
Jevnaker
3 - 1
Raufoss II
RAU
76%
14%
10%
19 25 6 -1