Bærum II vs Modum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
46.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bærum II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2013 |
NLI
0 - 2
BAE
43%
23%
34%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2013 |
BAE
5 - 2
MJO
50%
22%
28%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2013 |
DBK
1 - 6
BAE
33%
24%
43%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2013 |
BAE
2 - 0
LOM
33%
22%
45%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
BAE
1 - 4
MOD
24%
23%
53%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Modum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2013 |
MJO
0 - 2
MOD
24%
23%
54%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
MOD
3 - 0
LOM
72%
16%
13%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
JEV
4 - 2
MOD
38%
23%
39%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2013 |
MOD
2 - 1
HBK
82%
12%
7%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
BAE
1 - 4
MOD
24%
23%
53%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |