Bærum II vs Fagerborg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.6%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.9%
5.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bærum II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2015 |
BIR
3 - 0
BAE
67%
17%
16%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
LOM
5 - 2
BAE
65%
17%
18%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
BAE
4 - 2
ASK
50%
21%
30%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2014 |
SKA
5 - 1
BAE
54%
20%
26%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2014 |
BAE
2 - 2
HBK
59%
19%
22%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fagerborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2015 |
FBK
2 - 4
ETO
6%
11%
83%
|
13 | 31 | 18 | 0 |