Baden vs YF Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
21.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
ESC
1 - 2
BAD
60%
22%
18%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2008 |
BAD
1 - 2
TUG
43%
25%
32%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
STG
0 - 2
BAD
42%
24%
35%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
BAD
4 - 3
GRA
53%
22%
25%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
RSZ
1 - 4
BAD
27%
24%
48%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
YF Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
YFJ
5 - 1
KRE
74%
16%
10%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
YFJ
0 - 2
HON
64%
20%
17%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
WIN
1 - 2
YFJ
46%
23%
30%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
YFJ
2 - 0
SVS
50%
23%
27%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
FCZ
1 - 3
YFJ
60%
20%
20%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |