Challenge League Round 29

Baden vs YF Juventus analysis

Baden YF Juventus
45 ELO 42
9.1% Tilt 7.4%
4497º General ELO ranking 4421º
51º Country ELO ranking 49º
ELO win probability
54.1%
Baden
22%
Draw
23.8%
YF Juventus

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
Baden
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
23.8%
Win probability
YF Juventus
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Baden
+14%
-1%
YF Juventus

ELO progression

Baden
YF Juventus
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Baden
Baden
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Apr. 2005
WIL
FC Wil
2 - 1
Baden
BAD
67%
19%
14%
44 61 17 0
23 Apr. 2005
WIN
Winterthur
1 - 1
Baden
BAD
65%
20%
15%
44 52 8 0
20 Apr. 2005
BAD
Baden
1 - 0
FC Vaduz
FCV
25%
26%
49%
42 66 24 +2
16 Apr. 2005
MEY
Meyrin
1 - 2
Baden
BAD
61%
21%
19%
41 49 8 +1
09 Apr. 2005
BAD
Baden
1 - 4
Yverdon
YVE
29%
28%
43%
42 61 19 -1

Matches

YF Juventus
YF Juventus
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Apr. 2005
YFJ
YF Juventus
3 - 0
FC Wil
WIL
21%
24%
56%
41 62 21 0
20 Apr. 2005
BEL
AC Bellinzona
1 - 0
YF Juventus
YFJ
77%
14%
9%
42 53 11 -1
17 Apr. 2005
YFJ
YF Juventus
1 - 1
Wohlen
WOH
31%
25%
44%
41 52 11 +1
10 Apr. 2005
YFJ
YF Juventus
0 - 2
SC Kriens
KRI
25%
24%
51%
42 55 13 -1
03 Apr. 2005
YFJ
YF Juventus
1 - 2
La Chaux-de-Fonds
LAC
41%
24%
35%
43 47 4 -1