Baden vs Winterthur II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
23.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
FCW
3 - 3
BAD
50%
24%
26%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
CHA
5 - 0
BAD
78%
14%
9%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2015 |
BAD
0 - 4
CHA
29%
24%
47%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -3 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
BAD
5 - 0
FCT
80%
14%
7%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
LUG
0 - 3
BAD
26%
23%
51%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Winterthur II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
WIN
0 - 1
FCT
77%
15%
8%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
WIN
1 - 0
LUG
74%
16%
10%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
GRA
1 - 1
WIN
58%
21%
21%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
WIN
1 - 1
MEN
58%
22%
20%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
TAV
3 - 4
WIN
19%
20%
61%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | +1 |