Baden vs Stade Nyonnais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
49.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
5º
10º
10º
43
3º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
KRI
4 - 0
BAD
31%
23%
46%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
SIO
1 - 1
BAD
66%
21%
13%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
BAD
0 - 5
WIL
22%
23%
56%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -2 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
AFA
0 - 4
BAD
5%
10%
85%
|
56 | 8 | 48 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
BAD
2 - 3
FCV
22%
22%
56%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Stade Nyonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
FCA
0 - 2
STA
60%
22%
19%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
STA
1 - 2
SIO
27%
24%
48%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
LAN
2 - 1
STA
9%
15%
77%
|
62 | 38 | 24 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
STA
2 - 1
SCH
41%
24%
36%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
FCV
2 - 1
STA
46%
25%
28%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |