Baden vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
42.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
BAD
0 - 0
BEL
38%
26%
37%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2000 |
FCA
2 - 0
BAD
66%
21%
14%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
BAD
0 - 2
DEL
46%
24%
30%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
THU
4 - 0
BAD
62%
22%
17%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
ETO
0 - 0
BAD
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
LUG
3 - 2
FCA
56%
24%
21%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2000 |
BEL
0 - 0
LUG
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
LUG
2 - 1
THU
62%
21%
16%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
DEL
0 - 3
LUG
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2000 |
NEX
1 - 4
LUG
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +3 |