Bad Sauerbrunn vs Mattersburg SV 2020 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.2%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
11.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+157%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
4º
11º
6º
62
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Sauerbrunn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BAS
1 - 1
HAL
44%
21%
35%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
JEN
0 - 0
BAS
28%
22%
50%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BAS
3 - 5
PAR
12%
16%
73%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ASK
0 - 3
BAS
37%
22%
41%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
BAS
1 - 1
DEU
44%
22%
35%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Mattersburg SV 2020
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MAT
1 - 0
JEN
31%
22%
48%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
PAR
4 - 0
MAT
88%
8%
4%
|
15 | 40 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
MAT
1 - 1
ASK
28%
21%
51%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
DEU
1 - 3
MAT
82%
11%
7%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | +2 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
MAT
2 - 0
LEI
7%
12%
81%
|
9 | 28 | 19 | +4 |