Bad Ischl vs St. Marienkirchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
39.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Ischl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
NEU
2 - 1
BAD
48%
22%
30%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
BAD
2 - 1
WAL
64%
18%
18%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2016 |
BAD
0 - 3
GRU
44%
24%
32%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2016 |
DON
0 - 0
BAD
53%
23%
25%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2016 |
BAD
1 - 1
33%
24%
43%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
St. Marienkirchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 1
WEL
55%
21%
24%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
SSM
2 - 3
MAR
62%
19%
19%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 3
GMU
60%
20%
20%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2016 |
WEL
4 - 1
MAR
43%
22%
35%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
MAR
5 - 1
GRU
36%
22%
42%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |