Bad Hersfeld vs Marburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
21.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Hersfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
BAU
4 - 1
BHE
62%
20%
18%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2000 |
MAR
4 - 1
BHE
58%
22%
20%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -2 |
| 20 May. 2000 |
BHE
4 - 5
KKA
24%
25%
51%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2000 |
BHE
4 - 4
BRA
43%
25%
33%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2000 |
FVB
2 - 1
BHE
77%
14%
9%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Marburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 2
ESC
30%
24%
46%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2005 |
WAL
3 - 2
MAR
73%
17%
10%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
MAR
1 - 4
VIK
26%
24%
50%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
BAU
0 - 0
MAR
84%
11%
5%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
MAR
2 - 4
KKA
27%
25%
49%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |