Bad Aussee vs Weiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
66.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Aussee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2010 |
VOI
4 - 1
AUS
89%
8%
3%
|
14 | 46 | 32 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2010 |
AUS
0 - 6
ALL
12%
21%
67%
|
16 | 41 | 25 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2010 |
VEI
9 - 1
AUS
79%
13%
8%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2010 |
AUS
0 - 3
LBN
11%
19%
70%
|
18 | 46 | 28 | -2 |
| 11 May. 2010 |
GRA
3 - 0
AUS
83%
12%
5%
|
18 | 53 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Weiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2010 |
WEI
3 - 0
STF
49%
23%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2010 |
SVL
0 - 5
WEI
31%
25%
44%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +2 |
| 21 May. 2010 |
WEI
3 - 0
WEL
54%
22%
24%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
STU
2 - 3
WEI
57%
22%
22%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2010 |
WEI
3 - 0
FCB
37%
26%
38%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +3 |