Bærum vs Sarpsborg 08 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.9%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
5%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.6%
12.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
7º
5º
38
5º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bærum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2024 |
KFU
2 - 2
BAR
30%
21%
49%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
BAR
4 - 3
MJO
92%
6%
2%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
SKE
1 - 5
BAR
13%
17%
70%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 0
AIF
93%
5%
2%
|
41 | 16 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
IFL
0 - 1
BAR
17%
18%
65%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Sarpsborg 08 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 1
ULL
43%
22%
35%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
ASK
4 - 2
SAR
73%
16%
12%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 0
NOR
16%
21%
64%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | +4 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
GOF
2 - 0
SAR
17%
17%
65%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | -3 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
SAR
0 - 2
FRI
14%
18%
68%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | -1 |