B 1903 vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
51.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B 1903
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1977 |
SLB
1 - 0
B19
90%
7%
3%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1977 |
B19
2 - 0
TRA
37%
27%
37%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | +3 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
TRA
1 - 0
B19
79%
14%
8%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1975 |
B19
2 - 3
KOL
19%
22%
59%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1975 |
KOL
2 - 0
B19
89%
8%
3%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
SLB
2 - 0
ESP
94%
5%
2%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1977 |
SLB
1 - 0
B19
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1977 |
BOA
1 - 1
SLB
33%
26%
40%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1977 |
TOR
0 - 0
SLB
24%
24%
52%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1977 |
SLB
2 - 1
VAR
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | +1 |