AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
13.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
TWE
3 - 0
AZA
56%
23%
22%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
AZA
3 - 3
RKC
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
AZA
4 - 1
BVV
85%
11%
4%
|
83 | 51 | 32 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 1
AZA
21%
26%
53%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
AZA
4 - 0
RJC
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
NEC
1 - 1
ADO
47%
25%
27%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
FEY
5 - 1
NEC
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
NEC
2 - 3
FEY
31%
26%
43%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
NEC
0 - 0
WIL
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
VVV
2 - 2
NEC
28%
26%
46%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |