AZ Alkmaar vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
10.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2008 |
GRO
0 - 2
AZA
29%
24%
47%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
AZA
2 - 0
AJA
25%
24%
52%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
VIT
1 - 1
AZA
20%
22%
58%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2008 |
AZA
1 - 0
PSV
39%
28%
33%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
AZA
3 - 0
TWE
49%
26%
26%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
HER
1 - 0
WIL
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
PSV
4 - 0
HER
75%
16%
9%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2008 |
NAC
3 - 0
HER
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
HER
0 - 0
VIT
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
UTR
2 - 0
HER
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |