AZ Alkmaar vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2000 |
PSV
5 - 1
AZA
76%
14%
10%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2000 |
AZA
2 - 0
BOS
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2000 |
AZA
4 - 0
RKC
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2000 |
AZA
2 - 2
WIL
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
UTR
3 - 3
AZA
35%
24%
41%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2000 |
GRA
1 - 0
FOR
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2000 |
GRA
2 - 0
RKC
54%
24%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2000 |
PSV
6 - 0
GRA
83%
11%
6%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2000 |
MVV
0 - 2
GRA
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
GRA
3 - 0
BOS
48%
24%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |