AZ Alkmaar vs Go Ahead Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
AZA
1 - 1
VIT
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
AZA
0 - 2
ATR
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
UTR
2 - 0
AZA
35%
25%
41%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2013 |
ATR
1 - 3
AZA
23%
25%
52%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
RKC
1 - 2
AZA
23%
24%
53%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
RKC
1 - 4
GAE
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
GAE
3 - 3
GRO
43%
25%
32%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
PSV
3 - 0
GAE
82%
12%
6%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
GAE
2 - 1
ADO
48%
24%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
UTR
1 - 1
GAE
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |