AZ Alkmaar vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
AZA
1 - 3
FEY
23%
23%
54%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
SCH
2 - 1
AZA
62%
21%
18%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2001 |
AZA
1 - 1
PSV
20%
23%
57%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
WIL
2 - 2
AZA
65%
19%
16%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
AZA
1 - 0
UTR
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
FOR
3 - 4
SPA
56%
23%
21%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
FOR
2 - 2
NEC
52%
24%
23%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
RKC
1 - 0
FOR
61%
21%
17%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2001 |
FOR
1 - 2
WIL
35%
26%
39%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
PSV
3 - 0
FOR
78%
14%
8%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |