AZ Alkmaar vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
18.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
WIL
0 - 2
AZA
19%
22%
59%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2018 |
UTR
1 - 1
AZA
32%
25%
43%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2018 |
AZA
2 - 2
STG
60%
21%
19%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
AZA
3 - 1
SCH
62%
20%
18%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2017 |
FOR
2 - 4
AZA
17%
20%
63%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
ZWO
1 - 2
VIT
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
ZWO
1 - 0
NAC
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2018 |
ZWO
5 - 1
SPO
67%
19%
14%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2017 |
ADO
4 - 0
ZWO
34%
27%
40%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2017 |
ZWO
2 - 0
NEC
47%
24%
30%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |