AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1986 |
HER
1 - 1
AZA
30%
24%
46%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1986 |
AZA
0 - 0
VVV
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1986 |
GRO
1 - 0
AZA
54%
22%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1986 |
AZA
0 - 1
PSV
19%
24%
57%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1986 |
AZA
1 - 0
NEC
72%
18%
10%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1986 |
GAE
4 - 0
EXC
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1986 |
EXC
0 - 1
RJC
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1986 |
HER
1 - 2
EXC
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1986 |
EXC
0 - 0
VVV
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1986 |
GRO
2 - 0
EXC
73%
16%
11%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |