AZ Alkmaar vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
59.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
TWE
3 - 2
AZA
45%
25%
30%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
AZA
1 - 0
NAC
59%
22%
19%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2009 |
AZA
1 - 1
SDL
47%
27%
26%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
UTR
1 - 0
AZA
24%
24%
52%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
AZA
2 - 0
JON
88%
9%
3%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
ARS
3 - 1
BIR
81%
13%
5%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
ARS
6 - 2
BBU
72%
18%
11%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2009 |
ARS
2 - 0
OLP
77%
16%
7%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
FUL
0 - 1
ARS
19%
22%
59%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
ARS
2 - 0
WBA
78%
15%
7%
|
94 | 81 | 13 | 0 |