AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
59.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
AZA
2 - 1
ADO
72%
18%
11%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2021 |
PSV
1 - 3
AZA
53%
23%
25%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
ZWO
1 - 1
AZA
15%
20%
65%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
UTR
2 - 2
AZA
30%
24%
46%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
AZA
3 - 1
VIT
45%
25%
30%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
AJA
1 - 0
FEY
64%
19%
17%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2021 |
TWE
1 - 3
AJA
9%
15%
76%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
AJA
2 - 2
PSV
51%
22%
27%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
WIL
1 - 1
AJA
8%
14%
78%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
ADO
2 - 4
AJA
6%
13%
81%
|
89 | 66 | 23 | 0 |