AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
37.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2015 |
IST
1 - 2
AZA
40%
24%
36%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2015 |
AZA
2 - 0
IST
61%
22%
17%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2015 |
AZA
1 - 0
WAS
69%
19%
13%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
LIE
1 - 3
AZA
19%
21%
60%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
AZA
3 - 0
TEL
81%
14%
5%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2015 |
AJA
2 - 3
RAP
48%
24%
28%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
RAP
2 - 2
AJA
32%
26%
43%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
ASS
1 - 0
AJA
40%
26%
35%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2015 |
AJA
1 - 1
WOL
29%
24%
46%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2015 |
AJA
2 - 0
PAN
59%
23%
18%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |