AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
42.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2012 |
AJA
2 - 3
AZA
62%
21%
17%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2012 |
AZA
1 - 2
BRE
41%
23%
36%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 1
AZA
25%
25%
50%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2011 |
AZA
1 - 1
MET
52%
23%
25%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
AZA
4 - 0
GRA
79%
15%
6%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2012 |
AJA
2 - 3
AZA
62%
21%
17%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2012 |
AJA
1 - 0
86%
11%
4%
|
89 | 56 | 33 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
AJA
4 - 0
ADO
77%
15%
9%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
RKC
0 - 1
AJA
14%
19%
67%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2011 |
AJA
0 - 3
RMA
10%
16%
75%
|
89 | 96 | 7 | -1 |