AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
37%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2007 |
PAÇ
0 - 1
AZA
18%
21%
61%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
SPA
2 - 2
AZA
17%
21%
63%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2007 |
AZA
3 - 0
EXC
80%
14%
6%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
VIT
1 - 0
AZA
20%
22%
58%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
AZA
4 - 0
VVV
78%
14%
7%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2007 |
DZG
0 - 1
AJA
39%
24%
38%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
HER
0 - 1
AJA
13%
20%
67%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
AJA
2 - 2
GRO
71%
18%
11%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2007 |
SLP
2 - 1
AJA
29%
24%
47%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
AJA
4 - 1
SCH
67%
20%
14%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | +1 |