AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
34.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2007 |
AZA
2 - 2
FEN
57%
22%
21%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
GRO
1 - 1
AZA
21%
23%
56%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2007 |
FEN
3 - 3
AZA
50%
23%
28%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
AZA
2 - 0
WIL
82%
12%
6%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
PSV
2 - 3
AZA
52%
23%
25%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2007 |
AJA
3 - 1
BRE
39%
25%
36%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
AJA
2 - 2
EXC
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2007 |
BRE
3 - 0
AJA
54%
22%
24%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
ADO
1 - 2
AJA
12%
18%
70%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
AJA
4 - 1
FEY
46%
24%
30%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |