AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
57.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1999 |
AZA
2 - 1
TWE
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1999 |
MVV
3 - 4
AZA
33%
25%
43%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
AZA
0 - 3
PSV
17%
20%
63%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1999 |
AZA
2 - 0
HER
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1999 |
AZA
0 - 1
SCH
40%
25%
36%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1999 |
AJA
0 - 1
MLL
66%
20%
14%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
AJA
2 - 0
UTR
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
SPA
1 - 2
AJA
18%
21%
60%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1999 |
AJA
0 - 1
HHA
75%
16%
10%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1999 |
AJA
1 - 2
RJC
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |