Jong AZ vs Fortuna Sittard Sub 21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.4%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.8%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
12%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12%
6.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong AZ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2012 |
DBS
0 - 3
ALK
19%
21%
60%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2012 |
WIL
1 - 4
ALK
22%
23%
56%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2012 |
ALK
4 - 1
DOR
88%
9%
4%
|
28 | 9 | 19 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2012 |
VOL
3 - 1
ALK
18%
21%
60%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2012 |
ALK
1 - 4
HER
47%
23%
31%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -3 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2012 |
FOR
5 - 1
DOR
74%
16%
10%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2012 |
VVV
1 - 0
FOR
39%
23%
39%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 2
VOL
43%
23%
33%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2012 |
FOR
4 - 2
HER
13%
19%
68%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | +3 |
| 24 Sep. 2012 |
VIT
7 - 1
FOR
81%
12%
7%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | 0 |