Dep. Ayutla vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
29.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Ayutla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
AUR
0 - 1
AYU
43%
27%
31%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
AYU
1 - 1
BAR
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
PUE
5 - 2
AYU
43%
26%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -2 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
HUE
2 - 0
AYU
48%
25%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
AYU
3 - 1
SPD
45%
25%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
NUE
1 - 0
PUE
39%
24%
37%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
SPD
5 - 1
NUE
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
NUE
1 - 0
LAG
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
DEP
3 - 1
NUE
51%
24%
26%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
NUE
2 - 2
DEP
32%
27%
42%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |