Ayrón vs Rinconeda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
19.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayrón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
SEL
2 - 0
AYR
59%
22%
20%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
AYR
0 - 0
GAM
40%
24%
37%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
COM
1 - 1
AYR
59%
22%
19%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
AYR
0 - 1
SAN
52%
23%
25%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
REV
1 - 0
AYR
48%
24%
28%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Rinconeda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
MER
3 - 1
RIN
38%
25%
37%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
RIN
0 - 3
SEL
36%
26%
39%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
RIN
3 - 2
BUE
33%
24%
43%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
GAM
1 - 1
RIN
65%
20%
16%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
RIN
0 - 2
SAM
36%
25%
39%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |